brisbane property market forecast 2025

When people are looking for a home, theyre looking for a lifestyle, and education is a big part of that picture, be it in the inner-city suburbs or the coastal regions of Australia.. It can transform local economies and generate real estate booms. Brisbane, by comparison, has just 51 suburbs that have a median house value of at least $1 million. How much, on average, does it cost to build a house in 2023? As of June 2022, the median unit price in Brisbane was $505,000. In the next three years, to June 2025, unit rents are forecast to grow by a further 19%. Properties to consider may be ones that are a little ugly or untidy but have good "bones" and are in good or superior locations. As of 2021-22, most Queenslanders 50.66 per cent lived outside Brisbane, but the forecast growth rates were expected to result in 50.06 per cent of Queenslanders living in the capital by 2032-33. And while Brisbane is Australia's third-largest city, tenants don't necessarily want the same features as renters in Sydney and Melbourne. I look forward to the day we stop describing Brisbane as a small town. A shift in preferences towards increased space and more lifestyle-focused locations has boosted the population growth of regional Queensland. The most expensive suburb is Teneriffe, with a median value of $2.38 million, followed by blue-chip Ascot at $2.15 million, acreage hot-spot Chandler at $2.11 million and old-money suburb Hamilton at $2.1 million. In urban planning circles, its a concept known as the 20-minute neighbourhood. Brisbane Property Market Forecasts Westpac predicts that Brisbane property prices could experience growth of up 20% over the next 2 years. The median house price in Brisbane is forecast to sit at around $819,000 in June 2025. Of course, the Brisbane housing market won't boom again any time soon, but anyone who buys an A-grade home or investment-grade property in Brisbane will look back in a couple of years' time and recognise they bought a bargain. One already underway is the duplication of the M1 linking Brisbane to the Gold Coast which currently struggles with heavy traffic. We are an expat plus a future permanent resident potentially returning and would like to buy a home for the family. These suburbs sit around 9-10km from Brisbane and are the furthest out we recommend buying. It will reach a trough and once buyers and sellers see that inflation is under control and interest rates stop rising, they will step back into the market. This is above the Australian property market average of 1.9%. A larger proportion of secondary school catchments outpaced the respective suburbs' performance, at 56% compared to 54% of primary schools. Finance; Economy; Australian Economy; Where house prices could skyrocket in 2022. Hi Michael. The numbers tell the story here also with a rise of 36% over the last five years, well above the Brisbane average. Brisbane's median house price of $678,000 is less than half of Sydney's and on par with that for Adelaide and Hobart. Unlike Sydney or Melbourne, however, Brisbane is heavily decentralised, even more so after our councils were amalgamated into 8 large councils in 2008. Underpinned by continued overseas and interstate migration, metropolitan Brisbane requires approximately 23,000 additional dwellings each year to accommodate its growth. CoreLogic Rather than discussing this on an open forum, I have sent you a private email with some questions to help me better answer your queries, Hi Michael, nice article! Moving forward, Brisbane is tipped to have the highest growth of all the capitals in 2022, albeit with prices rising at a slower rate than in 2021. It may be a favourite caf, a gym or a place of worship, and even local shops and pubs. While most media attention surrounding property prices is drawn towards Melbourne and Sydney, one market that has experienced astonishing growth is Brisbane. As a born-and-bred Brisbanite, Ive lived in many suburbs across Brisbane over the past six decades from Indooroopilly in the inner-west to Morningside in the inner-east and no-one would ever describe Taringa, Toowong, Cooparoo, or Hawthorne as middle-ring suburbs. It forecast that house prices will fall by 5 per cent this year and a further 10 to 15 per cent over 2023. . Property prices are tipped to fall in 2023 according to bank forecasts. Sydney and NSW market outlook. They must be listening to those perma bears who have been telling anyone who is prepared to listen that the property markets are going to crash. Over the five-year period, house prices for mainstream properties are forecast to fall by 1 . The current median value for a Brisbane house is now $559,646 and likely to be rising further into 2012 and 2022 Michelle . It is worth noting that Queensland has the highest underemployment rate and lowest participation rate and employment-to-population ratio across the major eastern states. Buyer's agency - As Australia's most trusted buyers' agents we've been involved in over $3Billion worth of transactions creating wealth for our clients and we can do the same for you. For anyone looking to buy their first home or invest in the property market in Adelaide, BuyersBuyers identifies these ten suburbs as South Australia's most affordable: Ingle Farm, median house price $535,860. By Melinda Jennison 07 June 2022 | 1 minute read. The fact is, the rich are getting richer and they are able to and prepared to pay more for their homes. Apartment living in Brisbane came late to the party compared to Sydney and Melbourne and, in general, houses make better long-term investments than apartments in Brisbane. That is after a meteoric $2.3 million rise in values since 2017. And even as growth slowed in other parts of Australia, Brisbanes housing market continued to perform strongly in the first half of 2022. This includes strong population growth, affordability, and dwelling stock balance which will help the Sunshine State capital outperform most others in the short run. Three of the big four banks predict Brisbane's real estate market will outpace other capitals, before coming off the boil in 2023 when interest rates begin to rise. Westpac has forecast that Brisbane hosting the Olympics could produce at least $17 billion of economic and social benefits for Australia, with around $8 billion of that flowing into Queensland. Many of these locations in Brisbane are the inner and middle-ring suburbs which are gentrifying as these wealthier cohorts move in. While a lot has been said about the 30%+ increase in property values many Brisbane locations have enjoyed over the previous property boom, it must be remembered that the last peak for our property markets was in 2017, and in many locations housing prices remain stagnant over a subsequent couple of years and it was really only earlier this year that new highs were reached. Not that long ago Westpac Bank updated its forecasts and tipped Brisbane prices to surge 20 percent between 2022 and 2023, meaning Brisbane is likely to be one of the best performing property markets over the next few years. Brisbane is home to a diverse population of people from a variety of different cultural and ethnic backgrounds. also run parallel to each other. While many investors are attracted to Chermside, we would prefer Chermside West, with its favourable Demographics, higher owner occupier percentage, and superior school zone. Other middle-ring suburbs to keep an eye on: Suburbs within the 5km ring are starting to resemble all the traits and pricing of some of our southern capitals, but one suburb that still offers value is Ashgrove. Youve mentioned that suburbs like Chermside west and Keperra are good suburbs for entry-level property investments with budgets around 550k to 650k, but now that the market price has moved beyond this range. Adding to that the easy access to shops and lifestyle precincts with high walkability will remain in high demand moving forward and has already seen more than 36% growth over the past 5 years. Brisbane is home to a number of major industries, including finance, healthcare, and education, and it has a diverse and growing economy. run parallel to each other and the streets with male names (Edward, George, etc.) Think about it in these locations, locals will have higher disposable incomes and be able to and should be prepared to pay a premium to live in these locations. Weekly incomes in Cannon Hill have soared dramatically over the last few decades. In Brisbane, competition for places in preferred school zones has pushed property prices skywards in some areas. Having now seen those incredible rates of growth, the expectation is that things will slow down considerably in NSW in 2022 . Later, our changing demographics with declining household size, in part because we were getting married later and having fewer children, meant that small inner suburban dwellings or apartments provided ideal accommodation for the expanding cohort of professionals who worked in or close to the CBD. Please visit our advertising page to learn more and enquire about advertising with us. At Metropole Property Management we are able to achieve very fast leasing of properties at premium rentals, in part because our clients have chosen investment-grade properties, but wed like to think it also has a bit to do with our proactive property management policies. So what we're seeing is high-income people moving into particular locations, which perhaps used to be considered blue-collar, and spending their money there in new cafes and on renovating their homes. Many borrowers will feel mortgage pain when they next refinance, Get the latest real estate news delivered, enduring major flooding earlier this year. The Commonwealth Bank of Australia says Australia's housing prices will drop by 10 per cent as prices start to moderate next year before dropping significantly in 2023. In 1977, the average house price for inner-city suburbs was around $25,000 in South Brisbane people would pay around was $28,500 and in East Brisbane houses were just $23,500. We use the average growth rate in the last 10 years to forecast the price changes in the next 10 years, assuming the previous trend will continue to repeat in the future. Gains of 21 per cent and 20 per cent are expected in Brisbane and Melbourne, respectively. The suburb has also seen around 30% growth over the last 5 years on average. They bought A grade properties in selected suburbs in Brisbane that have significantly outperformed the averages based on the detailed research we do, I understand your concern but there are legal ways to structure your purchase so that you are not caught by this terrible tax. This has led to an increased demand for rental properties, which has helped to keep the vacancy rate low. Other Entry-level suburbs to keep an eye on: Starting to get closer now and there are a number of good suburbs that sit around 6 or 7km to the Brisbane CBD. View Report. Interestingly this wasnt caused by deliberate planning policy but resulted from a set of demographic changes that have occurred in most major capital cities around the world. Brisbane Prime Residential Review - Q3 2021 This report provides a review of the prime residential market (generally defined as the top 5% of each market by value) across Brisbane. Will the Brisbane property market finally crash in 2023? So when you're looking at the Brisbane property market, consider properties that are "special" because of their design, e.g. Apartment buyers will also pay staggering prices, with the median rising from the current $780,000 to $1.26m in 2030, the modelling suggests. The Urban Developer 's latest Brisbane housing market insights reveal that the city's property prices have continued to deflate, as the Reserve Bank's persistant rate-rising campaign to fight inflation puts pressure on residential property values across the nation. Queensland's Toowoomba, Yeppoon, Townsville, and the Southern Moreton Bay Islands took out four of the top 10 lifestyle locations. The greater Brisbane median house price was $684,000 at June 2021, a 19% rise on a year earlier according to BIS Oxford Economics' research. Rising mortgage rates, further macro prudential intervention, affordability constraints, a pick-up in new housing supply and an increase in property listings are expected to significantly cool. The exodus of industry, migrants, and many workers made way for gentrification of our inner suburbs where initially house prices and rents were cheaper than in the suburbs. The Urban Developer's latest Brisbane housing market insights reveals that the city ' s property prices have decreased for the first time in two years after a staggering 33 per cent rise over the past 12 months. As their priorities change, some buyers will be willing to pay a little more for properties with pandemic appeal and a little more space and security, but it wont be just the property itself that will need to meet these newly evolved needs a liveable location will play a big part too. However, with rising building costs, new apartments are going to cost developers a lot more to get out of the ground and therefore eventually cost more in the marketplace which means over time this capsule should narrow. In 2030, the forecasted median price of detached houses in the major capital cities will be: Sydney: $1,300,000. There's no doubt that proximity to popular education catchments influences property prices in Brisbane. Tips: Look forBrisbane'sbest properties in the inner and middle-ringsuburbs. He's once again been voted Australia's leading property investment adviser and one of Australia's 50 most influential Thought Leaders. Over the five years to the end of 2025, it . Thanks for the great article. Im now looking for advise whether to keep it a while longer (with reduced depreciation benefit and expectation of increased maintenance / aging related costs) or cut and run while the goings better than it has been and search for better opportunities (despite obvious hit of sale costs!) 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