Christopher Bell, Kyle Busch, Joey Logano, and Austin Cindric round out the top 5. Now we can actually look at which drivers you should look at picking up this week before the race. Watch more top videos, highlights, and B/R original content, Do Not Sell or Share My Personal Information. CBS Sports is a registered trademark of CBS Broadcasting Inc. Commissioner.com is a registered trademark of CBS Interactive Inc. site: media | arena: nascar | pageType: stories | These Vegas odds makers just always seem to know something that we dont and do offer avaluabletool when trying to comprise a NASCAR fantasy team each week. ET . This gives a better idea of how quick a driver and car really are and the top two drivers, Clint Bowyer and Mark Martin, both found there way into the top 10 on race day. Chris Buescher: +500. Christopher Bell 4. Michigan | NASCAR Fantasy Picks - FireKeepers Casino 400 (2021 Race #25) Watch on Slingshot Fantasy Auto Contest Picks for the FireKeepers Casino 400 at Busch posted the fastest speed in practice and qualified third for the race. These times can be a tricky thing to sift through at times, but once you find what you are looking for, they can be extremely useful. Tyler Reddick 6. Michigan DraftKings DFS Cash Game Picks Ryan Blaney ($9300): Blaney is in a great cash-game spot here, priced down from the top tier at only $9300. This is a bit of a bittersweet week for me, as Im sure it is for everyone heading to Fontana, Calif. I probably wouldnt pair these two together in one lineup, though, unless youre not including Larson in it. Did You Notice? He led just 28 laps in the race, but that was all he needed to bring home his first victory of 2022. Now, he's turned his attention to Sunday's 2022 NASCAR at Michigan race and locked in his NASCAR DFS picks. This is kind of like looking at the qualifying speeds, but I find that the practice speeds are a more valuable tool. Kyle Busch ($10,300)Career at Auto Club: 23 starts, 4 wins, 11 top fives, 16 top 10sAverage finish at Auto Club: 9.8. Trailing Busch is 2021 Cup Series champ Kyle Larson, who finished runner-up in this race last year, but has had a lackluster start to 2023, with finishes of 18th and 29th to kick off the campaign. Here are the picks for the FireKeepers Casino 400. Michigan International Speedway is the venue for the 23rd race of the NASCAR Cup Series season (3:00 p.m. Portions of this content are hidden. WebAug 5, 2022 63 Dislike Share Stokastic DFS - Daily Fantasy Sports Advice 77.6K subscribers Top 5 NASCAR Cup FireKeepers Casino 400 Fantasy picks and predictions. Sharp NASCAR bettors are at it again, and it appears like sportsbooks didn't learn their lesson from the 2022 season. In 2020 #2, Reddick started in the rear of the field in a backup car, had a 17.5 average running position, had the 19th best Total Speed Ranking and finished 24th. His Daddy Bill Elliott won seven times at Michigan. Youll get to compete against me and some of my colleagues. Fantasy sports doesnt sleep, and neither does Fantrax, with seasons running 365 days a year. Get a preview of the field with our Pennzoil 400 odds, and be sure to check back later in the week for a full race preview andbetting picks. I say shockingly because, frankly, that is not usually the case. Before scouring the 2022 FireKeepers Casino 400 starting lineup and making any 2022 NASCAR Michigan predictions, be sure to see the latest NASCAR at Michigan picks from SportsLine's proven projection model. ET on USA Network. He starts back in 35th and even on a bad day should be fast enough to get a top 28 finish. These practice times can provide very useful fantasy information if the times can be properly interpreted. The bonus picks are changing for the 2022 season and will revolve around four head-to-head matchups each race weekend. However, his team Penske teammates showed more speed, qualifying fourth and fifth. In 2022 over the combined races at high-speed intermediate tracks (Auto Club, Las Vegas Kansas and Charlotte), Larson has a series best 3.5 average finish, the best driver rating and his Track Type Total Speed Ranking is the 4th best. Ryan Blaney ($9,000) If Chase Elliott is a little too risky for you, then go one position further back on the starting grid and consider Ryan Blaney.

FanDuel Lineup

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DraftKingsLineup

. Before making any 2022 FireKeepers Casino 400 picks, you NEED to see what SportsLine's Micah Roberts has to say. Other cash-game drivers I like: Denny Hamlin (10,300),Brad Keselowski ($6900). If you When Busch won in 2019, he dominated, leading 134 laps. Fantasy Live has a new Bonus Picks section this year. It can be tricky picking the right five drivers each week, but I thought I could offer some advice for tips and drivers to use for this weeks race in Michigan. The winner on the racetrack tallies 45 points, while second place gets 42, third 41 and so on. In Michigan race #1 2020, Reddick didnt have an incident free race, but came home 18th. As long as he doesnt wreck, Austin Dillon is a very strong DraftKings option this weekend at Michigan. Kyle Busch heads into this week as the favorite (+600) after a convincing victory in the Pala Casino 400 last weekend. The green flag will drop at 3 p.m. When it comes to the tire combination this weekend, Goodyear is bringing the same left side tires that the Cup Series ran here at Michigan last year. Also, be sure to check out the Algorithm Predicted Finishing Order for this race by clicking here! FantraxHQ - The Home of Fantasy Sports Analysis, ROS Top 200 Fantasy Hockey Rankings for 2022-23. Micah Roberts revealed his NASCAR picks for the Pala Casino 400 2023 on Sunday at 3:30 p.m. Read his daily fantasy NASCAR advice and Xfinity sleepers. CS Media Limited All Rights Reserved. The starting lineup would be set by the rulebook if qualifying gets rained out, which is likely the metric formula used predominantly in 2020. He does have one other top 10 at Fontana, though: a fifth place back in 2016. The No. Tyler Reddick 5. Like Blaney, his 30th place starting position is not representative of his true speed. Although Chastain didnt have top 10 green flag speed at Auto Club in 2022, he did at both Darlington races, Michigan and Homestead. The No. Michigan is one of my favorite tracks. The second table is data from the three races on 2-mile race tracks last season (one race at Auto Club and two races here at Michigan). The second race of the NASCAR Cup Series season is the start of the West Coast swing in not-so-sunny California. Unfortunately, that was one of Stenhouses few bright spots of the season. On Sunday, look for Reddick to finish in the top ten and compete for a top five. Please keep in mind that comments are moderated according to our comment policy. Last year, Larson started on the pole, finished 2nd in Stage #1, 3rd in Stage #2, led a race high 70 laps, had a 3.2 average running position, earned the best driver rating and then finished 3rd when the checkered flag waved. Reddick is listed at 10-1 while Kyle Busch is the 11-2 favorite in the latest 2022 FireKeepers Casino 400 odds from Caesars Sportsbook. Truckin Thursdays: Ironman Matt Crafton Ready To Shake Off the Rust.

FanDuel Values

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DraftKings Values

, At some point, we have to agree that Brad Keselowski ceases to be valuable when he runs so poorly on a week-in and week-out basis. Martin Truex, Jr. ($9300): Truex is exceptional at high tire-wear tracks, ranking inside the top three in most metrics last year.Over each drivers last eight incident-free races at high-speed, high-wear tracks, Truex comes in second in driver rating behind only Kyle Larson. Larson hasnt visited victory lane since February, but that was at Auto Club, the one other big 2.0-mile high-speed intermediate track on the schedule. All photos and statistics are used with permission from NASCAR Media Group. McClure is also targeting an undervalued driver set to return plenty of value. His average finish at Michigan (5.4) is eight spots better than his average start (13.4) dating back to 2019. Qualifying in NASCAR is not always as important as it is other series such as F1, but there are certain tracks where qualifying can be important. In fact, he had the second best green flag speed at Auto Club a year ago and led 90 laps, though he finished 24th. Over the past three races at Michigan, Smoke has had an AFP of 6.0, and when his price is 22.4, it is hard not to put the two-time champion on your team. Additionally, drivers can earn or lose a point depending on where they finish. Fantasy NASCAR Tips and Picks for Michigan. For a slightly lesser cost, you could fill you teams spot with Newmans teammate and boss, Tony Stewart. And which value driver is a must-roster? Tyler Reddick ($9700):If theres one driver whos likely to break up the Toyota dominance, its last weeks winner at Indy, Tyler Reddick. William Byron 3. ET . ET on FOX. Here are this weekend's picks, courtesy Frontstretch.com 's Joy Tomlinson. Hamlin should be a good pick at Michigan. If you have any thoughts or ideas youd like to share, hit me up on Twitter at @thewonkypenguin. While he won twice at road courses last year, he also won at Texas Motor Speedway, surviving the flat-tire plagued race. Before that, McClure highlighted Hamlin at New Hampshire, who finished sixth after starting 14th. Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbooks lines around the Toledo vs. Central Michigan odds, and make our expert college basketball picks, predictions and bets.. Toledo covered as The Cup Series visits Auto Club just once per season, meaning teams havent raced here in a year a race that was also the first at an intermediate track in the Next Gen car. It was his best finish at this track, better than what he did with Joe Gibbs Racing. The gamble seems to be paying off. He's only sharing his picks and NASCAR DFS driver pool and top picks here. The projected finishes are averaged from six different ranking systems. Despite sitting in 11th place in NASCAR standings, Reddick's Fantasy production indicates he's an elite driver. I will have Reddick in the Garage just in case he dominates again Sunday. Hes low enough salary-wise that he should hit value if he earns a good result on Sunday. The NASCAR Cup Series will travel to the Irish Hills of Michigan to compete at Michigan International Speedway. One of the races is on a road course and the other is at Daytona. Michigan Fantasy Spin At Michigan, Tyler Reddick has a less than appealing track record but on Sunday, look for him to be a contender. I like his low salary to help you fit some of the top-tier drivers in your roster. Hamlin runs up front and scores very well in Fantasy Live one week and then he looks like complete garbage the next week. I think youll find it really helpful when you create your own lineups. Im just going to chalk up his result to him not closing well. His model, which simulates every race 10,000 times, called seven outright winners last season. Over the last three races at Michigan, over half of the drivers that started in the top 10 end there as well, so before picking your team for this week, make sure to take a quick glance and see who is starting where for the race this weekend because it could pay dividends. In the race, Reddick finished 8th in Stage #2, had an 11.6 average running position and was running right around 8th until he got loose in front of Joey Logano during a restart on lap 186 which caused a multi-car wreck. Busch himself has four wins and the best average finish among active drivers (besides Jimmie Johnson, whos not in this race). When looking at odds, you should only really use them to pick out the top two drivers for your team each week. The damage didnt look severe, but it did cause him to start in the rear of the field on Sunday in a backup car. If a driver posts some fast laps in practice and qualifies up front, he needs to be in our lineups. First up is data from the 550hp package this year. Despite posting strong results in this race in recent years, Busch hasn't won in Vegas since 2009, but he looks set to recapture his dominant form, now with RCR. In the four races prior to that, Larsons results were 1st, 1st, 1st and 3rd. ET Fantasy Football. Michigan has long been a great track for Busch, and in 2022 at high-speed intermediate tracks where theres correlation, Busch has been fast and has been a contender to win the last three races. Aric Almirola: +500. Could Kyle Busch get one Sunday? The latest in the sports world, emailed daily. He has three runner-up finishes on the track and -- along with Erik Jones -- is one of two Michigan natives who will be competing. WebFree nascar fantasy rankings, advice, picks and tips. begin to evolve, Busch could make a serious statement with a second win in as many weeks, and with Top-5 finishes in this race each of the past two years, it's certainly within his grasp. As the returning winner, he has an excellent chance of breaking Fords eight-race losing streak but should provide a high positional value even if he comes up short of victory. Instead of selecting the winning team or manufacturer, we will earn 10 bonus points for selecting the driver who finishes the best in a Head-to-Head matchup. Tip from McGuirk Arena in Mount Pleasant is at 7 p.m. Ross Chastain ($9,900)Career at Auto Club: 4 starts, 0 wins, 0 top fives, 0 top 10sAverage finish at Auto Club: 25.8. It is your sole responsibility to understand your local laws and observe them strictly. This includes eight races thus far: Homestead, Las Vegas, Kansas, Charlotte, both Atlanta races, and both Pocono races. Tyler Reddick His No. Blaney should have no trouble moving forward. AD has a career average finish of 16.4 here at Michigan International Speedway and has finished 16th or better in eight of the last eleven races at this track. Call 1-800-GAMBLER. GARAGE DRIVER: TYLER REDDICK (3): Reddick will have some momentum Sunday after his win at the Brickyard last week. Terrence Shannon Jr is averaging 17.1 points while shooting 44.1 percent from the field. Fantasy Fallout: With Gavin Lux Out, Could A Sleeper Emerge? Below we detail a NASCAR pick at 5-1 odds with value for Sunday's race at Auto Club Speedway. But now hes with Richard Childress Racing, and this race will be key to know how quickly he and his team can gel, especially if practice and qualifying rain out. I've been a serious Fantasy NASCAR player for over 10 years now, and I'm just getting started. After a glut of drivers in the +1,000-+1,200 range, there's a fairly quick dropoff to the longshots, with just two drivers (Daniel Suarez, +2,500, Bubba Wallace, +3,000) priced between +2,000 and +4,000. With these strong finishes and extremely good price, every team owner should consider adding Brian Vickers to their team. Illinois is averaging 74.2 points while their defense is giving up 65.6 points per game. Now, the model simulated the 2023 Pala Casino 400 10,000 times. Now for the video breakdown! Tip-off is scheduled for noon ET (ESPN). Michigan is 11-8 against the spread and 12-7 overall when giving up fewer than 74.2 points. His average running position was about 29th! He finished 10th, 3rd, 3rd, 4th and 3rd in his last five races at the track. Unlike Blaney, I dont mind being equal or even slightly overweight to the field on Bowman in tournaments. McClure has won almost $2 million in his career as a daily Fantasy pro, and his NASCAR DFS driver pool, projections and advice can help you Add in his fast practice and qualifying times, and we have a nice contrarian play to Kyle Busch and Denny Hamlin. No team has won more Cup Series races at Michigan than RFK's six victories. Read on for my daily fantasy NASCAR 19 team knows they need a win this week. Daytona 500 Betting Odds, Picks, Predictions. Kyle Busch At Michigan, it is incredibly difficult to pass the leader, so its hard to imagine Larson not dominating at least the first half of the FireKeepers Casino 400 on Sunday afternoon. Keep in mind that theres rain expected most of Saturday, so you might not get to see how drivers will perform in their limited practice time. In the race he finished 3rd in Stage #1, 3rd in Stage #2, had a 5.4 average running position, was the fastest driver late in a run and had the 2nd best Total Speed Ranking. Sign Up Now, B) New users at DraftKings can bet $5 andget $200 in bonus bets! Hes a three-time winner and currently he has back-to-back 3rd place finishes. This field is for validation purposes and should be left unchanged. Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbooks lines around the Michigan State vs. Iowa game odds, and make our expert college basketball picks, predictions and bets.. Here are the drivers and latest NASCAR odds included in Group D at Caesars: Erik Jones: -105. A former Vegas bookmaker, Reddick also had a top five average speed in this same category at the first Darlington race, coming home in second place. While leading on lap 158, Larson ran out of fuel. Top 2022 FireKeepers Casino 400 NASCAR DFS picks For NASCAR at Michigan, McClure is high on Kyle Busch ($10,500 on DraftKings and $13,500 on Jones was the best driver in the four races at Auto Club, Darlington and Homestead, which are universally known for their high tire wear, in 2022, but it was actually Almirola who posted the best average finish of the group in these races. Eat the chalk with Pasta this weekend, especially in cash games. Larson is a three-time winner at Michigan and Hendrick Motorsports has had the strongest cars all season. However, Almirola should easily be the second-most likely to win the group and has better than a 16.67% chance, which is what his +500 odds imply, to do so. McClure has won almost $2 million in his career as a daily Fantasy pro, and his NASCAR DFS driver pool, projections and advice can help you The The top 10 in drivers standings is a great place to start looking for drivers for this weeks race. That could be a perfect slot to provide value with a great chance of winning Or it can be a DFS wasteland where he doesnt move at all. That was no fluke. In that contest, the top score was 291.4 and won $300 with race winner Tyler Reddick, Cindric, Michael McDowell, Bubba Wallace, Harrison Burton, and Gilliland. As far as DraftKings scoring, the rules are the same as last season: 0.45 points for each fastest lap and 0.25 for each lap led. He has never finished worse then 10th and only finished out of the top three once, with two of the those races being wins for the No. The green flag drops at 3 p.m. The Keselowski from previous years would have been a ridiculous value in Michigan starting from the 33rd slot. The combination of a new nose and whatever gains teams made over the offseason will not be known until cars go green this afternoon. Congrats to hooviej1125 on their win last week! A price tag of -105 translates to an implied probability of 51.22%, which is way too rich for my blood considering the uncertainty that I detailed in the introduction. Busch has been one of the most consistent drivers at Michigan. Jekyll and Mr. Hyde season? It only takes one poor finish to ruin your week in fantasy NASCAR, and by steering clear of Ryan Newman, this should help your chances of avoiding a poor finish. As the early NASCAR Cup Series odds begin to evolve, Busch could make a serious statement with a second win in as many weeks, and with Top-5 finishes in this race each of the past two years, it's certainly within his grasp. ET on Sunday. That means Im willing to be more aggressive in choosing fast cars, regardless of where they start, instead of leaning into place differential more. Included in these tables are the following statistics: Its not uncommon for Michigan to be a one dominator race. Kyle Larson 2. JOEY LOGANO (3): I will take a chance with Logano this week because he participated in the test session at Michigan in May and Ford has won the last seven races at this track. They look at their drivers and see one or two allocations left and they think, I am low on allocations with that driver, I need to save him. Do not do that!!! With an AFP this poor and a cost of 23.1, Newman would just a poor place to invest almost one-fourth of your budget. Truex has been a beast at Michigan. Fantasy NASCAR FireKeepers Casino 400 at Michigan: NASCAR DFS Picks By Kelly Kirby On Aug 7, 2022 The gentlemen will start their engines at Michigan International Speedway today, and the lineup is set, with Bubba Wallace sitting in pole Be sure to go here and subscribe to my YouTube channel if you havent already. Every year I see Fantasy Live players make the same mistake. 11 Toyota. This slate locks on 2/26/23 at 3:45 p.m. Fantasy Racing Tips is not affiliated with, maintained, endorsed or sponsored by NASCAR. Give me the fast car at a fast track. Over the last three races ran at Michigan, Newman has an AFP(average finishing position) of 20.3. For his career, he's led for 282 laps at Michigan International Speedway, which is the third-most among drivers in the 2022 FireKeepers Casino starting grid. Hamlin posted the third-fastest speed in practice and qualified ninth for the race. I expect to have another chance to win there. I wrote his remarks in my notes and highlighted PLAY BELL AT MICHIGAN. He comes from the same school of racing as Kyle Larson and Tyler Reddick. If Larson carries the momentum over from last year, he should be fast right off the bat this weekend. And yes, Id be remiss if I failed to disclose that my wifes bet on Ricky Stenhouse to win the Daytona 500 at 40-1 NASCAR odds did most of my bankrolls heavy-lifting. Tyson Walker has led the Spartans this season with 14.6 points per game, 1 Trackhouse Racing Team Chevrolet didnt finish well in the first Darlington race, but he placed eighth in the Southern 500 and second at Homestead. Before we jump into my picks, dont forget all my NASCAR projections can be found in the NASCAR Models on FantasyLabs, complete with floor, ceiling, median, and ownership projections. Rest of Jordans Card Kyle Busch Top 5 Finish (+115) See notes above on Kyle Busch and head on over to BetRivers to grab this at +115 odds. A name and email address are required to post a comment. And although he's yet to have a standout performance at Michigan, you could have said the same about Reddick at Road America and The Brickyard, and he went out and won both of those races. Thanks for choosing to comment on this article. Thats a good effort for him. Lets look at the boards most significant values for FanDuel and DraftKings. Michigan Fantasy Rankings 1) Kyle Larson (Starting 1st) Michigan Bottom Line At Michigan, the road to victory lane will go thru Kyle Larson. Lets not skip the best part myPerfect% metric a metric that tells you how often certain racers appear in the optimal lineup when running 10,000 race simulations. In addition, the driver of the No. During the competition caution on lap 20, Busch had a long pit stop to repair damage to his nose after early contact with Truex which dropped him back into the 30s. I will use one of my allocations with Rowdy Sunday. He is also one of the cheaper drivers with a cost of only 16.4, and adding Vickers allows for a little more room to spend on your third and fourth driver. BJ McLeod 1.